October 2003 Terrorism Report
Our 150-page Terrorism Report is a comprehensive study of the current state of international terrorism, its likely future development over the next five years and its effect on the international business community. It is designed to be of practical use to strategic decision-makers in all market sectors, though it also contains detailed analysis likely to be of value also to expert analysts. The report’s contents page indicates the scope of its coverage. The full report is available to clients, who are also welcome to discuss with us in greater detail any questions of specific interest to their business needs. Please contact us for details.
The report draws partly on the Aegis Research and Intelligence Terrorism Database. This is a comprehensive record of all terrorist attacks since January 1999, broken down by significant criteria such as date, location, category of target, type of weapon, perpetrator and numbers of dead and injured. This enables the reader to see, for example, just how sharply the number of terrorist attacks is rising (figures updated to 31 December 2003):
It also shows the relative lethality and levels of activity of the main categories of terrorist groups currently operating in the world:
| Attacker type | Lethality rate* | Average deaths per attack | Average injuries per attack |
| Nepalese Maoists | 47% | 15.0 | 17.2 |
| All Islamists, incl.9/11 | 34% | 11.9 | 22.7 |
| Chechen separatists | 31% | 15.8 | 35.4 |
| All Islamists, excl.9/11 | 31% | 6.2 | 13.7 |
| Kashmiri separatists | 27% | 3.1 | 8.2 |
| FARC/ELN (Colombia) | 20% | 1.6 | 6.6 |
| Palestinians | 15% | 3.8 | 21.4 |
| Sendero Luminoso (Peru) | 8% | 3.5 | 40.5 |
| * The lethality rate (deaths as a percentage of total casualties) for 9/11 itself was 71.7% (3044 deaths and 1200 injuries) | |||
The same lethality figures, reflected in graphical form to reflect the absolute numbers of victims as opposed to just the ‘kill ratio’, are as follows:
The data also reveals the breadth of terrorist targeting. This is a theme that runs through the whole report. No-one should persuade themselves that “terrorism always happens to someone else”. The attack may happen elsewhere; but its effects will shape your business.
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